Papers and Presentations
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Analyzing a Report of Patricia Pacey
Slides used in presentation made on October 20, 2023 at the Fall Forensic Economic Workshop and Paper Session, Santa Fe, New Mexico.
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Forecasting Growth After the Pandemic
Slides used in presentation made on March 2, 2023 at the 34th Annual Meeting of the American Academy of Economic and Financial Experts in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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When Should History Start?
Slides used in presentation made on May 28, 2022 at the NAFE International Meeting in Quebec, Canada.
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Estimating the Lost Earnings of a Child
Slides used in presentation made on April 21, 2022 at the 33rd Annual Meeting of the American Academy of Economic and Financial Experts in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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An Affirmative Argument for Use of the Net Discount Rate
Paper presented at the virtual NAFE Session 3, 2021 Annual Allied Social Science Associations Meeting.
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The Missing "E" in "FE"
Slides used in presentation made on April 25, 2019 at the 31st Annual Meeting of the American Academy of Economic and Financial Experts, Las Vegas, Nevada.
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A Macroeconomic Primer for Forensic Economists
Slides used in presentation made on March 30, 2017 at the 29th Annual Meeting of the American Academy of Economic and Financial Experts, Las Vegas, Nevada.
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A Forensic Economic Thought Experiment
Published in The Forecast, Issue 30, Number 4, November 2016.
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Stationarity Revisited, With a Twist
Slides used in presentation made on October 7, 2016 at the Fall Forensic Economic Workshop and Paper Session, Durango, Colorado.
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The Bond Ladder Fallacy
Paper presented at the 91st Annual Meeting of the Western Economic Association International, Portland, OR, July 2, 2016.
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Accounting for Work Life Expectancy: Applying the Skoog-Ciecka-Krueger Transition Probabilities
Published in the Journal of Legal Economics, Vol. 22(1), pp. 39-54.
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The Role of Voluntary Labor Force Absences in the Determination of Earnings Capacity
Slides used in presentation made on October 9, 2015 at the Fall Forensic Economic Workshop and Paper Session, Springdale, Utah.
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E, and Ultimately FE: The Case for Secular Stagnation
Slides used in presentation made on March 12, 2015 at the 27th Annual Meeting of the American Academy of Economic and Financial Experts, Las Vegas, Nevada.
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Calculating the Probability of Labor Force Activity - Applying the Skoog, Ciecka and Krueger Labor Force Transition Probabilities
Paper presented at the Fall Forensic Economic Workshop and Paper Session, Santa Fe, NM, October 24-25, 2014.
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Female Work Life Expectancy
Published in NAFE News, Vol. 28, No. 2, May 2014, pp. 10-11.
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The Impact of the SSA Cohort Tables on Work Life Expectancy: An Application of the Skoog-Ciecka-Krueger Transition Probabilities
Paper presented at the 26th Annual Meeting of the American Academy of Economic and Financial Experts, Las Vegas, Nevada.
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Using the Social Security Trustees' Forecasts in the Estimation of Economic Damages
Paper presented at the 83rd Annual Meeting of the Southern Economic Association, Tampa, Florida.
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Yet Another Net Discount Rate Paper
Paper presented at the 43rd Annual Conference of the Illinois Economic Association, Chicago, Illinois.
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Analyzing a Report of Kent Jayne
Slides used in presentation made on October 4, 2013 at the Fall Forensic Economic Workshop and Paper Session, Durango, Colorado.
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Historical Net Discount Rates - An Update Through 2011
Published in the Journal of Legal Economics, 2012, Vol. 18(1), pp. 89-111. Note that the tables in this file are formatted to fit on a single page.
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Economic Controversy in Personal Injury Cases: An Example of a Bad Example
Draft submitted for publication in the Journal of the Missouri Bar. A shortened version was published as a letter to the editor in "The Bar Speaks" section of the March-April 2012 edition of the Journal.
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Comment and Reply on Jayne's "The Neuro Economics of Applied Knowledge"
Published in Forensic Rehabilitation and Economics, 2011, 4(1): 41-50
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A Comparison of Period and Cohort Life Tables
Published in the Journal of Legal Economics, 2011, 17(2):113-130
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Supplemental Calculation of Lost Earnings Using the LPE Method
Published in Determining Economic Damages, by Gerald D. Martin, July, 2010 and subsequent updates.
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Calculating Survival Probabilities
Published in the Journal of Legal Economics, 2009, 16(1):111-126
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Misconceptions Surrounding Probability in the Calculation of Economic Damages
Slides used in presentation made on June 18, 2010 at the annual conference of the American Rehabilitation Economics Association in Chicago, Illinois.
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Employment Status of the Civilian Noninstitutional Population
Paper presented at the Fall Forensic Economic Workshop and Paper Session, Salt Lake City, Utah, October 13-14, 2006.
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Economic Damages Under House Bill 393
Co-authored with Dr. Thomas R. Ireland. Published in the Journal of the Missouri Bar, July-August 2006, 62(4):214-221